BAC 202 Dr. Jeffrey Jarrett
Phone: 874-4169 136 Surge Building
JEFF1@URIACC.URI.EDU
INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS II
Purpose
2. Testing Hypothesis Chapter 9
Illustration of Testing an hypothesis about an assumption about
a state of the world (decision problem solving); Basic concepts of Hypothesis
Testing; One sample test of a amen; large samples; of error, i.e., Type
I and II; Measuring the probability of a Type II error; evaluation of a
test of hypothesis - The Operating Characteristic and/or Power Curve; One
sample test of a Population Proportion, large sample and small samples;
Use of T-distribution in small sample tests for the mean; Use of statistical
software, i.e., the T-Test and Z Test command. What is the appropriate
sample size for the test about a mean - a proportion; Application to Total
Quality Management - The Deming Approach.
3. The Comparative Experiment Chapter
10
Testing the difference in mean of two populations, large sample
designs; Use of T-distributions for test involving small sample; Testing
the difference in proportions of two populations; Use of Statistical Software;
Choosing the right model for decision making - evaluating the assumptions
of the decision model.
4. Regression and Correlation Analysis Chapter
14
Introduction, relationships and the Scatter diagram (use of statistical
software); Aims of Regression and Correlation; the Linear Regression Models,
its assumptions; The Sample Regression Line; The Method of Least Squares;
Characteristics of Least Squares Estimates; The Standard Error of Regression
(estimate); Estimators of (1) the conditional mean and (2) an individual
value of Y; the Coefficient of Determination; Coefficient; Inference Concerning
the Intercept, A; Application to Statistical Cost Functions; Application
to a Stock’s Beta; Use of Statistical Software; Evaluation of Model
Error by Statistical Software.
5. Business and Economic Time Series Chapter 18
Introduction; The Classical Time Series Model and its Components;
The least squares linear trend model; Estimation of a nonlinear Trend model-meaning
of derivative of model; Method of Moving Averages; Exponential Smoothing
as an example of a moving average; Seasonal Index, Ration-To-Moving-Average
Method; Calculation of Seasonal Variation, Dummy Variable (Regression)
Method; Cyclical Variation; Elementary Forecasting Techniques; Advanced
techniques introduction; Use of Statistical Software; Introduction to the
Multilinear Model for Decision Making and Forecasting.
6. Index Numbers Chapter 17
What do index numbers measure and why are they so important;
Unweighted Index Numbers; Weighted Index Numbers; Why price and quality
index numbers are statistical opposites; Other weighting schemes;
Chain Index Numbers; Examples; The Consumer Price Index, the Producer Price
Index; the Index of Industrial Production; Use of Statistical Software.
7. How Top Managers Improve Product and Service Quality by the Use of
Statistical Methods? Chapter 20
Emphasis on the Quality Movement-Deming, Shewhart, Juran and
Taguchi; What Causes Lack of Uniformity; Reduced Emphasis on Inspection;
Statistical Process Control; The Control Chart; Mean and Range Charts;
Mean and Standard Deviation Charts; the C Chart; Use of statistical software;
Experiment Design and Quality Improvement; How to get statistical methods
accepted?
8. Experimental Designs-Comparing More Than Two Populations. Chapter
13
Design of Industrial Experiments; the Analysis of Variance Model;
the F Distribution; Analysis of a Completely Randomized Design; One Way
and Two Designs; Use of Statistical Software.
9. Chi-Square and Nonparametric Designs Chapters 11 and
12
The Chi-Square Distribution and Testing Model; Test of differences
among proportions; Contingency Tables; Statistical Software Applications;
Tests of Goodness of Fit; Testing for Normality; Tests and Confidence Intervals
concerning the variance; The Sign Test; Mann-Whitney Test; Runs Test; Non
parametric tests, and evaluation of its benefits and costs.
10. Decision Analysis and Theory Chapter 22
Decision Matrix and trees; Utility, Monetary Equivalents and
Expected Monetary Value; Prior Analysis, Sampling and Preposterior
Analysis; Evaluation after Sampling or Posterior Analysis; Opportunity
Loss; Critical Thinking; the Evaluation of the Decision; Applications to
Pricing Inventories, and Capital Budgeting; Use of Statistical Software.